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Naira Forecasted to Depreciate to N1,993/USD by 2028, Threatening Nigeria’s Medical Device Market
The Naira is projected to depreciate to N1,993 per US dollar by 2028, according to a new report by BMI Research, a subsidiary of Fitch Solutions.
This forecast highlights the growing challenges Nigeria faces in importing critical medical supplies due to the weakening of its currency and ongoing structural issues within the healthcare system.
The report, titled “Weak Naira and Structural Challenges to Constrain Nigeria’s Medical Devices Market Growth”, indicates that the Naira’s depreciation will significantly affect Nigeria’s medical device sector.
With over 95% of medical devices in the country imported, the weakened Naira will increase import costs and erode the purchasing power of both healthcare providers and patients, especially in a public health sector that is already underfunded.
BMI’s projection sees the Naira falling from its current value of about N1,700 to N1,993 by 2028. Although this marks a relatively modest depreciation, the report suggests that the weakening currency will continue to drive up the cost of medical devices, particularly high-cost products like diagnostics, orthopaedics, and dental equipment.
While the depreciation poses a serious challenge to the medical sector, there is some optimism for local manufacturers. A weaker Naira could make domestically produced medical devices more competitive, potentially stimulating growth in that segment.
Despite the forecasted depreciation, the report predicts a gradual economic rebound, though the medical device market will continue to face operational and demand constraints in the short term.
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