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Naira Forecasted to Depreciate to N1,993/USD by 2028, Threatening Nigeria’s Medical Device Market
The Naira is projected to depreciate to N1,993 per US dollar by 2028, according to a new report by BMI Research, a subsidiary of Fitch Solutions.
This forecast highlights the growing challenges Nigeria faces in importing critical medical supplies due to the weakening of its currency and ongoing structural issues within the healthcare system.
The report, titled “Weak Naira and Structural Challenges to Constrain Nigeria’s Medical Devices Market Growth”, indicates that the Naira’s depreciation will significantly affect Nigeria’s medical device sector.
With over 95% of medical devices in the country imported, the weakened Naira will increase import costs and erode the purchasing power of both healthcare providers and patients, especially in a public health sector that is already underfunded.
BMI’s projection sees the Naira falling from its current value of about N1,700 to N1,993 by 2028. Although this marks a relatively modest depreciation, the report suggests that the weakening currency will continue to drive up the cost of medical devices, particularly high-cost products like diagnostics, orthopaedics, and dental equipment.
While the depreciation poses a serious challenge to the medical sector, there is some optimism for local manufacturers. A weaker Naira could make domestically produced medical devices more competitive, potentially stimulating growth in that segment.
Despite the forecasted depreciation, the report predicts a gradual economic rebound, though the medical device market will continue to face operational and demand constraints in the short term.
TV anchor Rufai Oseni makes headlines as he speaks on fuel subsidy in Nigeria. He shared that Nigeria can have fuel subsidy without the long queues at filling stations.
“When we were still paying subsidies, there were no long queues. We were subsidising. So you can still have a subsidy regime going on, and there will be no long queues because production was close by. Dangote had it. That’s just it. That argument also falls flat.
“The biggest beneficiaries of subsidy are not Nigerians. They are crony capitalists that have big infrastructure, and they do contracts. They have been the biggest beneficiaries of the subsidy,” he said.
Lagos State Governor, Sanwo-Olu, speaks to those in the electricity sector about the usual blackouts in the state.
He speaks on ways things can change in the state and how electricity can be provided.
“We need to drop corporate egos, abandon long-standing excuses, and confront the harsh realities obstructing progress in the power sector.”
“We, state governments, used to give excuses that everything is centralised, so the Federal Government has unbundled it now. What have we done in a year and a half?” Sanwo-Olu asked.
“We take two steps forward, we go five steps backward,” he said.
Lagos State Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu has declared Thursday, August 20, a work-free day for public servants in the state to mark the Isese Festival.
Speaking on the celebration, he said “Ìṣẹ̀ṣe is not a relic. It is a living expression of our traditions and a celebration of Yoruba spirituality as an important part of Nigeria’s cultural and religious landscape,” he said.
He added “When the drums sound in Lagos on Thursday, they answer drums in Havana, in Salvador, in Port of Spain. Fifty-five million people and counting. Lagos is not observing a local holiday. Lagos is standing at the centre of a global heritage,” Aregbe said.
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